Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 14.355064 16.246026 18.389283 21.018711 24.185721 27.913503 32.687893
2025-06-22 11.380433 13.614240 16.351269 20.013919 24.885728 31.293117 40.625476
2025-06-29 9.590230 11.867096 14.795076 18.938582 24.829207 33.204533 46.626990
2025-07-06 8.435451 10.712330 13.752363 18.250448 25.004055 35.264055 53.165958
2025-07-13 8.414669 11.026713 14.678544 20.393205 29.602640 44.897935 74.998535
2025-07-20 7.994948 10.719447 14.660220 21.094203 32.051505 51.614223 94.294867
2025-07-27 7.334080 9.988918 13.920242 20.533282 32.252314 54.328119 106.503708
2025-08-03 7.047019 9.776905 13.933662 21.182236 34.672270 61.873002 133.359847
2025-08-10 6.598740 9.276635 13.436915 20.885151 35.262753 65.807584 153.236567
2025-08-17 6.207883 8.831797 12.983226 20.597756 35.807457 69.778273 175.663503
2025-08-24 5.888666 8.474163 12.637541 20.456963 36.615660 74.592100 204.173878
2025-08-31 5.533304 8.032811 12.112595 19.917178 36.482579 77.044249 226.346734
2025-09-07 5.273962 7.743709 11.846647 19.887755 37.576241 83.383970 271.276213
2025-09-14 4.895414 7.234618 11.160199 18.962244 36.488572 83.426219 289.432924
2025-09-21 4.540413 6.744011 10.471423 17.961806 35.070801 82.147947 300.709873
2025-09-28 4.269160 6.379451 9.982980 17.321118 34.424598 83.079909 325.652193
2025-10-05 4.386982 6.682586 10.723307 19.314264 40.726456 109.017609 552.762385
2025-10-12 4.312865 6.646216 10.829861 19.965112 43.723959 125.474650 771.849286
2025-10-19 4.102144 6.355759 10.431547 19.444367 43.369116 128.832265 878.591599
2025-10-26 4.036467 6.320363 10.521582 20.046807 46.391517 148.055838 1272.687288
2025-11-02 3.878007 6.107981 10.249051 19.771077 46.733165 155.623329 1554.174018
2025-11-09 3.731255 5.909593 9.991340 19.504241 47.059506 163.459623 1914.929908
2025-11-16 3.608001 5.748379 9.797823 19.373485 47.806097 174.080685 2474.457774